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Monday, December 30, 2013

Regional Workforce Study Pinpoints Challenges

Regional Workforce Study Pinpoints Challenges

Potter County Today

northcentralA recent forecast of the region’s employment and economic picture identifies challenges, including a declining population and a higher proportion of older citizens. Details are contained in the Northcentral Pa. Regional Planning and Development Commission’s “Workforce Investment Area Five-Year Plan” (study area in orange at right). It is a mechanism to steer a myriad of federal, state and local government resources in areas that help address economic and social challenges in the six-county region. Services for employers, job training and benefits for the unemployed are among the deliverables of the agencies affected by the Northcentral plan, so its contents are important. Here are some of the findings and forecasts:
  • Manufacturing jobs in the region have been declining and are expected to fall even more, from about 17,000 at the time of the study to 15,800 by the start of 2015.
  • Population loss region-wide was four percent from 2000 to 2010, which makes it harder to meet needs for infrastructure, education and government services. Potter County’s population declined by 3.4 percent between 2000 and 2010, from 18,080 to 17,457. Most or all of the six counties will continue to lose population over the next five years. At the same time, there will be greater growth in the two population groups (ages 0-17 and 65-plus) who create the greatest demand on services.
  • Median age will continue to rise. By 2030, it will be 43.9 in Potter County. Statewide, the median age now stands at 40.1.
  • Job growth is expected in gas and oil extraction. More modest growth is expected in finance/insurance; waste management; professional, scientific and technical services; real estate; recreation/entertainment; private educational services; construction; health care; transportation/warehousing; and wholesale trade.
  • Steady job decreases are expected in manufacturing (see above); the information sector (which includes media, communications, data processing and publishing); company management; government; retail trade; agriculture and utilities.

5 comments :

Anonymous said...

The bottom line is potter county will continue to suffer and is even going to get worse ! I know the small town i live in has gone down hill for as long as i can remember . Sad but true .

Anonymous said...

I wonder how much interaction the PA Wilds group has with the North-central Pa. Regional Planning and Development Commission? Seems the six counties studied by the Planning and development commission comprise a large section of the “wilds”. Shouldn’t job growth in the service sector show at least some increase in the next 5 years based on the highly touted “tourist based economy” from the PA Wilds group? Job growth #1 from oil and gas exploration. After that circus leaves town I hope PA Wilds group has a big shovel to clean up all the lingering elephant crap. Then possibly tourist based economy? Maybe? Just move a few elk into the Potter County square and plant a tree.

Anonymous said...

Thinking about the comment by 8:16 I think even with the modest growth of the tourist industry we would still have a net loss of retail jobs because of stores, shops and other smaller businesses closing down. Take a look at lost retail jobs in Coudersport alone over the last decade and many other little businesses in other Potter County towns have also closed their doors. That is a trend, without doubt, and now that more people go to Olean, St. Marys, Wellsboro, Wellsville, Williamsport, Erie, Buffalo, etc., to shop (or buy online), I think it a case can be made that the trend will continue. I used to spend a lot of time with Dan at Boyd's Corner Store, with Jo at the City news, buying clothes at JCPenney, bowling at Old Hickory Lanes, downing a beer or two at the Caz Bar or Sweden Hotel, and so on. Kids would skate at Magic Valley Skateland and hang out at the Buckboard. All of them gone today.

Anonymous said...

Potter County is a prime example that you just can't rely on tourism alone. The ones pushing the PA wilds and tourism get paid by the county or state to do so! Every one else suffers as the stores,jobs and people keep leaving year after year!

Anonymous said...

3:05 I'm from Austin and used to patronize all of those establishments. I grew up at Magic Valley Skateland! Breaks my heart that they are all closed now.